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2.1

Calculated on 05 May, 2025

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Idioma

Journal of Multidisciplinary Applied Natural Science

e-ISSN: 2774-3047


Articles https://doi.org/10.47352/jmans.2774-3047.461

Mathematical Modeling and Cost-Effective Control of Tuberculosis through Vaccination and Treatment

Yudi Ari Adi Sugiyarto Sugiyarto Desi Nurfita Ummu Atiqah Mohd Roslan Suparman Suparman

Informações do autor

Yudi Ari Adi

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1831-9103
  • yudi.adi@math.uad.ac.id
  • Department of Mathematics, Universitas Ahmad Dahlan, Yogyakarta-55191 (Indonesia)
  • Biografia não informada.

Informações do autor

Sugiyarto Sugiyarto

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6210-7258
  • sugiyarto@math.uad.ac.id
  • Department of Mathematics, Universitas Ahmad Dahlan, Yogyakarta-55191 (Indonesia)
  • Biografia não informada.

Informações do autor

Desi Nurfita

https://orcid.org/0009-0003-0783-8754
  • desi.nurfita@ikm.uad.ac.id
  • Department of Public Health Sciences, Universitas Ahmad Dahlan, Yogyakarta-55164 (Indonesia)
  • Biografia não informada.

Informações do autor

Ummu Atiqah Mohd Roslan

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4396-0947
  • ummuatiqah@umt.edu.my
  • Special Interest Group Modelling and Data Analytics, Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, Terengganu-21030 (Malaysia)
  • Biografia não informada.

Informações do autor

Suparman Suparman

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5526-6285
  • suparman@pmat.uad.ac.id
  • Department of Mathematics Education, Universitas Ahmad Dahlan, Yogyakarta-55191 (Indonesia)
  • Biografia não informada.

Publicado em: julho 24, 2026

[1]
Y. A. Adi, S. Sugiyarto, D. Nurfita, U. A. Mohd Roslan, e S. Suparman, “Mathematical Modeling and Cost-Effective Control of Tuberculosis through Vaccination and Treatment”, J. Multidiscip. Appl. Nat. Sci., jul. 2026.

Resumo

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global health concern, particularly in high-burden countries such as Indonesia. To better understand the transmission dynamics and evaluate intervention strategies, a compartmental SVEITR model is developed that incorporates vaccination, exposure, treatment adherence, and immunity loss. Using next-generation matrix methods, the basic reproduction number is derived and stability analysis demonstrated that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when . Bifurcation analysis of the vaccine efficacy parameter revealed a forward bifurcation, indicating that TB can be eradicated once vaccine efficacy exceeds a critical threshold. Using Pontryagin's maximum principle, we developed an optimal control problem with time-dependent vaccination and treatment adherence control. Numerical simulations demonstrated that the combined implementation of vaccination and treatment adherence resulted in the greatest reduction in the exposed and infectious population. Further cost-effectiveness analysis showed that improving treatment adherence alone was the most economically efficient strategy (ACER ; ICER ), while vaccination alone was significantly less cost-effective (ACER ). Although combining vaccination with treatment adherence achieved additional health benefits, it incurs higher additional costs (ICER). These findings suggest that treatment adherence should be prioritized in resource-limited settings, with combined strategies considered when additional resources are available.

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